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Tuesday, March
17th 1998
Welcome to Hong Kong. This is our first update on Monday. Today
is March 16th, it's a very special day because it's Terri's birthday.
Our day is just about to end, it's almost 11:00 PM at the time of
our first update report, and for most of you, your day is just beginning.
13 hours Central time zone difference, 14 East coast here in Hong
Kong, which is about 7,500 miles from the Midwest, Milwaukee and
Chicago. Hong Kong's a city of 6 million people. It is now the financial
center of the PRC, the People's Republic of China. It is a SAR,
a Special Administrative Region, of China and a very exciting and
amazing city, in many ways, the entrepreneurial capital of Asia.
Our view is quite spectacular from our hotel room in a Hyatt adjacent
to the Conference and Civic Center here which overlooks the harbor
of Hong Kong which is about as busy as Main Street in any town in
America, with ships, boats and ferries transporting people across
from one side of the harbor to the other. The weather here is sticky,
muggy, cloudy, drizzly, it's not ideal weather conditions, but no
way is it the hard winter of this time in the Midwest. Well I'll
be joined here in a moment by my co-driver for this trip, birthday
girl Terri, who will be giving her first update comments in just
a moment, but let me share a few thoughts about our three days here
in Hong Kong thus far.
First we're healthy and enjoying the food and enjoying the people
who are really very, very gracious and hospitable. Today I had an
opportunity to tour the Hong Kong stock market. It was very impressive
- all electronic trading. They have no market makers, nobody who physically
handles market trades and cries the amount of the trade, like at the
Chicago Merchantile Exchange or the New York stock market. It's all
done electronically. If somebody wants to sell a stock, it's entered
on a computer and they have 1100 people who sit in a room and monitor
the computers and the buyers then buy the stock electronically right
on the computer. It's very impressive. The stock market in Hong Kong
is down about 30%. The PE (Price Earnings) Ratio on all the stocks
traded is only 6, that compares with about 26 for the average for
the New York Stock Exchange PE Ratios, which are quite high at this
time.
The entire region of southeast Asia has been affected by the currency
devaluation of Thailand and Indonesia, but the Hong Kong economy appears
to be quite strong. The economy of China is undergoing a stunning,
spectacular infusion of capital for public works projects, estimated
to be several trillion dollars. Hong Kong alone is to receive something
like $80 billion in public improvements in the coming year. The amount
of economic activity in this region of the world is something that
we'll probably be commenting on throughout our updates all this week.
One of the main reasons that we're spending time here is to get a
first hand insight into this part of the world. In North America,
in America, it's pretty easy to not understand, to not pay attention
to what's going on here, but increasingly it appears that in the coming
century that this part of the world is going to be very influential,
very dominant in geo-politics and geo-economics. We received quite
an intellectual briefing on all of China today by the department head
of foreign studies at George Washington University in Washington and
by a number of Chinese, both business and political leaders here in
Hong Kong.
We traveled safely from Milwaukee to Los Angeles and then traveled
on the world's number one noted airline for service and accommodations,
Cathay Pacific, which is the official airline of Hong Kong and southeast
Asia. The routing was really quite interesting for the flight, because
it went north to Anchorage, Alaska and then across to the Russian
Federation. Inland, rather than over the seas of this part of the
world. Inland, down Russia and directly down to China, on the western
side of Beijing, in fact, and right on into Hong Kong. A flight of
14 1/2 hours in a 747 at altitudes of 40,000 feet at times, really
quite an uneventful and very pleasant air flight, almost two days
in time traveling because of passing through the International Day
Zone.
We arrived Saturday in Hong Kong. We had a couple of days to get acclimated
and our conference began today and we've had a full day of activity.
We just returned from a wonderful Chinese sort of Disneyland, I would
describe it. Terri will be here in a moment to describe her impressions.
There are 400 people attending this conference, all CEOs, Chief Executive
Officers of companies around the world. It would appear to be half
North America, maybe a fourth from Europe and a fourth from Asia and
other parts of the world, so a very international group as part of
the group here. Well, that's an oversight. We promised you daily updates
so that you could come along with us on this journey and there are
a lot of things that we can see coming down the road. We'll be leaving
Hong Kong this coming weekend, going to Singapore and Malaysia and
will be traveling in that region for 10 days and looking forward to
sharing some of our observations from this region of the world.
There's a lot of negative news in this part of the world. There's
an alarming breakout of cholera in Thailand and people who fly into
Hong Kong are not being allowed to get off of airplanes until they
receive health examinations as they try to control the spread of cholera.
There's a considerable amount of unemployment. Unemployment's about
25% because of the economic downturn, but there's a massive shift
in construction, public works, and the people here are just on fire
with entrepreneurial creativity and ingenuity.
Well that's my update. Let me ask Terri, who has sort of collapsed
on the bed here to come to phone and give you her update. It's her
birthday and she's at various opinions about whether she would rather
be with family and friends this day or out here traveling. So, Terri,
would you like to come here and participate in the update like we
think that would be a word consistent with the Wisconsin tradition
and it might be hard to believe that, but policies and actions on
the part of China indicate that it is being very, very progressive
in its attitude about its relationship with not only Hong Kong, but
Taiwan and soon Macau, which it resumes control of in 1999, as being
very progressive with regard to its policies, not the hard line Communistic
approach that we probably grew up thinking and perceiving China to
be. So it's a period of awesome change that has tremendous implications
for the future. I think in the lifetime of our children, Asia/China
will be an extraordinary part of what transpires in the world.
Well with those observations, I think we'll sign off and wish you
well. We're well. We're in Hong Kong all this week and we'll be back
with you tomorrow with another update. Thanks for joining us and all
the best to you.
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